Non League Premier - Isthmian · Regular Season - 12
DartfordvsWingate & Finchley
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Isthmian
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley: match review and analysis
Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley in Non League Premier - Isthmian on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Dartford recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 8. Wingate & Finchley recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 17 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Dartford | Wingate & Finchley |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Dartford: (1.98 weighted goals scored + 1.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Wingate & Finchley: (1.88 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.45 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Dartford recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RamsgateNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Tadley CallevaFA Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| LeistonFA Trophy | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Hayes & Yeading UnitedFA Cup | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Enfield TownNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Carshalton AthleticNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Westfield (Surrey)FA Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Westfield (Surrey)FA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chatham TownNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Dartford’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Wingate & Finchley recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bedford TownFA Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Bedford TownFA Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Real BedfordFA Trophy | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownFA Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownFA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Welling UnitedNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Felixstowe & Walton UtdFA Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Felixstowe & Walton UtdFA Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Enfield TownNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Wingate & Finchley’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Isthmian — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Dartford are ranked 3 in Regular Season, with 21 points from 10 games.
Wingate & Finchley are ranked 15 in Regular Season, with 11 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Welling United | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Enfield Town | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 21 |
| 3 | Dartford | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | Carshalton Athletic | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 21 |
| 5 | Lewes | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | Dulwich Hamlet | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 16 |
| 8 | Eastbourne Borough | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 9 | Chatham Town | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Leatherhead | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | St Albans City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 | Burgess Hill Town | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 13 | Cray Wanderers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 14 | Cheshunt | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Wingate & Finchley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Aveley | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 10 |
| 17 | Brentwood Town | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 | Maldon & Tiptree | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 9 |
| 19 | Whyteleafe | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 5 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.