Non League Premier - Southern Central · Regular Season - 11
Racing Club WarwickvsLeiston
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Southern Central
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Racing Club Warwick vs Leiston: match review and analysis
Racing Club Warwick vs Leiston in Non League Premier - Southern Central on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Racing Club Warwick recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Leiston recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 20 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Racing Club Warwick | Leiston |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Racing Club Warwick: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 1.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Leiston: (1.89 weighted goals scored + 1.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.68 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Racing Club Warwick recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Worcester CityNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Bromsgrove SportingFA Trophy | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Redditch UnitedNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AlvechurchFA Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Anstey NomadsNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Lye TownFA Cup | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| Stratford TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AlvechurchNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Hitchin TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Racing Club Warwick’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Leiston recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry UnitedFA Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Real BedfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| DartfordFA Trophy | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Peterborough SportsNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Hitchin TownFA Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Banbury UnitedNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Grays AthleticFA Cup | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Grays AthleticFA Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Bury TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Redditch UnitedNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Leiston’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Southern Central — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Leiston are ranked 11 in Regular Season, with 11 points from 9 games.
Racing Club Warwick are ranked 13 in Regular Season, with 10 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 10 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 20 |
| 5 | Kettering Town | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Rushall Olympic | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Halesowen Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Leiston | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Redditch United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Racing Club Warwick | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Bishop's Stortford | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Leamington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Hitchin Town | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 19 | Banbury United | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| 20 | Stratford Town | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 6 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 25 | -24 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.