Non League Premier - Southern Central · Regular Season - 11
Real BedfordvsBromsgrove Sporting
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Southern Central
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Real Bedford vs Bromsgrove Sporting: match review and analysis
Real Bedford vs Bromsgrove Sporting in Non League Premier - Southern Central on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Real Bedford recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 29 and conceding 16. Bromsgrove Sporting recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 17 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Real Bedford | Bromsgrove Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 29 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Real Bedford: (2.72 weighted goals scored + 0.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bromsgrove Sporting: (1.59 weighted goals scored + 1.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Bedford recent form
2.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesham UnitedFA Cup | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Wingate & FinchleyFA Trophy | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Harleston TownFA Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Redditch UnitedNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Royston TownFA Cup | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Leighton TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Halesowen TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Stratford TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 6–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Real Bedford’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bromsgrove Sporting recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BuryFA Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LeamingtonNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Racing Club WarwickFA Trophy | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Stratford TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Leek TownFA Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bury TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nuneaton TownFA Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Worcester CityNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bishop's StortfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Redditch UnitedNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Bromsgrove Sporting’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Southern Central — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Real Bedford are ranked 1 in Regular Season, with 27 points from 9 games.
Bromsgrove Sporting are ranked 3 in Regular Season, with 22 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 10 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 20 |
| 5 | Kettering Town | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Rushall Olympic | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Halesowen Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Leiston | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Redditch United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Racing Club Warwick | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Bishop's Stortford | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Leamington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Hitchin Town | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 19 | Banbury United | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| 20 | Stratford Town | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 6 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 25 | -24 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.