Non League Premier - Southern South · Regular Season - 11
Chichester CityvsPlymouth Parkway
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Southern South
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Chichester City vs Plymouth Parkway: match review and analysis
Chichester City vs Plymouth Parkway in Non League Premier - Southern South on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Chichester City recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 19. Plymouth Parkway recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 20 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Chichester City | Plymouth Parkway |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Chichester City: (2.02 weighted goals scored + 0.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Plymouth Parkway: (1.92 weighted goals scored + 1.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Chichester City recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanworth VillaNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Thame UnitedFA Trophy | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SE DonsFA Cup | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| UxbridgeNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Broadfields UnitedFA Cup | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Havant & WvilleNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Hanwell TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Chippenham TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Evesham UnitedNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Chichester City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Plymouth Parkway recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HorshamFA Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bath CityFA Trophy | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Frome TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Frome TownFA Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| SholingNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Gosport BoroughFA Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Evesham UnitedNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Havant & WvilleNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Plymouth Parkway’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Southern South — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Plymouth Parkway are ranked 2 in Regular Season, with 20 points from 9 games.
Chichester City are ranked 9 in Regular Season, with 13 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 20 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham United | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne Town | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke Town | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Wville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.