Non League Premier - Southern South · Regular Season - 11
Hanworth VillavsGloucester City
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Southern South
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Hanworth Villa vs Gloucester City: match review and analysis
Hanworth Villa vs Gloucester City in Non League Premier - Southern South on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Hanworth Villa recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 27 and conceding 11. Gloucester City recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 21 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hanworth Villa | Gloucester City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 27 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hanworth Villa: (2.62 weighted goals scored + 1.41 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Gloucester City: (2.17 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.70 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hanworth Villa recent form
2.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeatherheadFA Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Chichester CityNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bishop's StortfordFA Trophy | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| BerkhamstedNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| PaghamFA Cup | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| Yate TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Whitstable TownFA Cup | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Wimborne TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Evesham UnitedNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Hanworth Villa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Gloucester City recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mulbarton WanderersFA Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Plymouth ParkwayNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Stafford RangersFA Trophy | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Malvern TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| AFC TottonFA Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Basingstoke TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mangotsfield UnitedFA Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Mangotsfield UnitedFA Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Evesham UnitedNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Havant & WvilleNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Gloucester City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Southern South — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Hanworth Villa are ranked 4 in Regular Season, with 19 points from 9 games.
Gloucester City are ranked 19 in Regular Season, with 7 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 20 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham United | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne Town | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke Town | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Wville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.