Non League Premier - Southern South · Regular Season - 11
Wimborne TownvsHavant & Wville
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Southern South
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Wimborne Town vs Havant & Wville: match review and analysis
Wimborne Town vs Havant & Wville in Non League Premier - Southern South on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Wimborne Town recorded 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 4. Havant & Wville recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 13 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Wimborne Town | Havant & Wville |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 4 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Wimborne Town: (1.59 weighted goals scored + 1.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.76 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Havant & Wville: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 0.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Wimborne Town recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crowborough AthleticFA Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Yate TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| MoneyfieldsFA Trophy | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Weston-super-MareFA Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Weston-super-MareFA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bracknell TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Portishead TownFA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Portishead TownFA Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| UxbridgeNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Hanworth VillaNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Wimborne Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Havant & Wville recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanwell TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Taunton TownFA Trophy | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Bracknell TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Chippenham TownFA Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Chippenham TownFA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chichester CityNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Plymouth ParkwayNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Frome TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Havant & Wville’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Southern South — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Wimborne Town are ranked 12 in Regular Season, with 12 points from 8 games.
Havant & Wville are ranked 21 in Regular Season, with 5 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 20 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham United | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne Town | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke Town | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Wville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.