Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · Group B - 5
SanjoanensevsGuarda
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sanjoanense vs Guarda: match review and analysis
Sanjoanense vs Guarda in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Sanjoanense recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Guarda recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 13 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sanjoanense | Guarda |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sanjoanense: (1.63 weighted goals scored + 1.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Guarda: (1.53 weighted goals scored + 1.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sanjoanense recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AnçãTaça de Portugal | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| FlorgradeCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AlpendoradaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Pacos de BrandaoTaça de Portugal | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| SalgueirosCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Beira-MarCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FafeFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Felgueiras 1932Friendlies Clubs | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| São João VerLiga 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ParedesLiga 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sanjoanense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Guarda recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChavesTaça de Portugal | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| CamachaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| União LamasCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Académico do FundãoTaça de Portugal | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| FlorgradeCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AlpendoradaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| RéguaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LeçaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| Beira-MarCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MachicoCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Guarda’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sanjoanense are ranked 8 in II Divisao: Group B, with 5 points from 4 games.
Guarda are ranked 13 in II Divisao: Group B, with 1 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ovarense | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Machico | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Camacha | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Castro Daire | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Florgrade | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Salgueiros | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Cinfães | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Sanjoanense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | União Lamas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Beira-Mar | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Alpendorada | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | Estrela Calheta | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
| 13 | Guarda | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Sousense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.