Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 · Group 17 - 6
BreavsLa Almunia
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Brea vs La Almunia: match review and analysis
Brea vs La Almunia in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Brea recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 7. La Almunia recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 14 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Brea | La Almunia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Brea: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 1.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
La Almunia: (1.50 weighted goals scored + 0.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Brea recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDJ TamariteTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Andorra CFTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| CD SietamoTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IlluecaTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Belchite 97Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CaspeTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EbroTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CuarteTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Belchite 97Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ÉpilaTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Brea’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
La Almunia recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CuarteTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ÉpilaTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| BinéfarTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Real Zaragoza IITercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Huesca IITercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| RobresTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ÉpilaTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Belchite 97Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Andorra CFTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UtrillasTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from La Almunia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Brea are ranked 3 in Tercera: Group 17, with 11 points from 5 games.
La Almunia are ranked 10 in Tercera: Group 17, with 7 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Zaragoza II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Ejea | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Brea | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Atlético Monzón | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Cuarte | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Caspe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Fraga | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Binéfar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Épila | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | La Almunia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Almudévar | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | CDJ Tamarite | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Huesca II | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Illueca | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | CD Sietamo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Andorra CF | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Robres | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 | Belchite 97 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.