Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Group 18 - 6
Guadalajara IIvsQuintanar del Rey
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Guadalajara II vs Quintanar del Rey: match review and analysis
Guadalajara II vs Quintanar del Rey in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Guadalajara II recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 22. Quintanar del Rey recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Guadalajara II | Quintanar del Rey |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Guadalajara II: (1.10 weighted goals scored + 1.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Quintanar del Rey: (1.05 weighted goals scored + 2.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.70 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Guadalajara II recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SocuéllamosTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TarancónTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 2–6 | Lost | |
| MarchamaloTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CD VillaTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TorrijosTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AzuquecaTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| VillarrubiaTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| TarancónTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PedroñerasTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Calvo SoteloTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Guadalajara II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Quintanar del Rey recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD VillaTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TorrijosTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| IllescasTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| VillarrobledoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ToledoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Elche IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| RSD AlcaláSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| IntercitySegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Rayo MajadahondaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FuenlabradaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Quintanar del Rey’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Guadalajara II are ranked 16 in Tercera: Group 18, with 2 points from 5 games.
Quintanar del Rey are ranked 17 in Tercera: Group 18, with 2 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarrobledo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Illescas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Torrijos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | CD Villa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Marchamalo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Tarancón | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Almansa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Villacañas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Noblejas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | San Clemente | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Socuéllamos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | La Solana | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Villarrubia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Guadalajara II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Huracán Balazote | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.