Premier League · Regular Season - 5
BDF XIvsOrapa United
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
BDF XI vs Orapa United: match review and analysis
BDF XI vs Orapa United in Premier League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
BDF XI recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 18. Orapa United recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 8 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | BDF XI | Orapa United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 3 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
BDF XI: (0.91 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Orapa United: (0.62 weighted goals scored + 1.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
BDF XI recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TonotaPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Prisons XIPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nico UnitedPremier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Gaborone UnitedPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Centre ChiefsPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Township RollersPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Extension GunnersPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sua FlamingoesPremier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| TAFICPremier League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Police XIPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from BDF XI’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Orapa United recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 3 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police XIPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TAFICPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EnesiaPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Nico UnitedPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Police XIPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Santa GreenPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Centre ChiefsPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gaborone UnitedPremier League | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| Extension GunnersPremier League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| TAFICPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Orapa United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
BDF XI are ranked 10 in Premier League, with 4 points from 3 games.
Orapa United are ranked 12 in Premier League, with 2 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tonota | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Sua Flamingoes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Police XI | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Gaborone United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Nico United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | TAFIC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Extension Gunners | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Enesia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Township Rollers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | BDF XI | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Centre Chiefs | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Orapa United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Morupule Wanderers | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 |
| 14 | Galaxy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Matebele | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 | Prisons XI | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.