Premier League · Regular Season - 5
TAFICvsMatebele
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
TAFIC vs Matebele: match review and analysis
TAFIC vs Matebele in Premier League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
TAFIC recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 5. Matebele recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 6 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | TAFIC | Matebele |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
TAFIC: (2.00 weighted goals scored + 1.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Matebele: (0.45 weighted goals scored + 0.40 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
TAFIC recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centre ChiefsPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Orapa UnitedPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| TonotaPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CalendarPremier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Santa GreenPremier League | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Nico UnitedPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gaborone UnitedPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Extension GunnersPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BDF XIPremier League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Orapa UnitedPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from TAFIC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Matebele recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TonotaPremier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| EnesiaPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Police XIPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sua FlamingoesPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sua FlamingoesPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Township RollersPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| GalaxyPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Santa GreenPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Nico UnitedPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CalendarPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Matebele’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
TAFIC are ranked 6 in Premier League, with 6 points from 3 games.
Matebele are ranked 15 in Premier League, with 0 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tonota | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Sua Flamingoes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Police XI | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Gaborone United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Nico United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | TAFIC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Extension Gunners | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Enesia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Township Rollers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | BDF XI | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Centre Chiefs | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Orapa United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Morupule Wanderers | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 |
| 14 | Galaxy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Matebele | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 | Prisons XI | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.