Veikkausliiga · Relegation Group - 26
Turku PSvsFF Jaro
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Veikkausliiga
- Venue
- Veritas Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Turku PS vs FF Jaro: match review and analysis
Turku PS vs FF Jaro in Veikkausliiga on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Turku PS recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 11. FF Jaro recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 5 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Turku PS | FF Jaro |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Turku PS: (0.70 weighted goals scored + 1.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FF Jaro: (0.46 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Turku PS recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IlvesVeikkausliiga | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| MariehamnVeikkausliiga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SJKVeikkausliiga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| GnistanVeikkausliiga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| VPSVeikkausliiga | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| KuPSVeikkausliiga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MariehamnVeikkausliiga | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| IlvesVeikkausliiga | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Turku PS’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FF Jaro recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LahtiVeikkausliiga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SJKVeikkausliiga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IlvesVeikkausliiga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MariehamnVeikkausliiga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AC OuluVeikkausliiga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| VPSVeikkausliiga | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| LahtiVeikkausliiga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SJKVeikkausliiga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from FF Jaro’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Veikkausliiga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Turku PS are ranked 8 in Veikkausliiga, with 31 points from 22 games.
FF Jaro are ranked 11 in Veikkausliiga, with 15 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 37 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 33 |
| 7 | Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 | SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 | FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 14 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Turku | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 49 |
| 2 | KuPS | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 48 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 42 |
| 5 | AC Oulu | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 37 |
| 6 | VPS | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 36 |
Turku PS are ranked 3 in Relegration Group, with 32 points from 25 games.
FF Jaro are ranked 6 in Relegration Group, with 17 points from 25 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lahti | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 36 |
| 2 | Ilves | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 34 |
| 3 | Turku PS | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 32 |
| 4 | SJK | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 27 |
| 5 | Mariehamn | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 17 |
| 6 | FF Jaro | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 17 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.