Primera División · Clausura - 10
Defensor SportingvsCerro
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División
- Venue
- Estadio Luis Franzini
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro: match review and analysis
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro in Primera División on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Defensor Sporting recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Cerro recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 8 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Defensor Sporting | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Defensor Sporting: (0.97 weighted goals scored + 1.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cerro: (0.80 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Defensor Sporting recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albion FCPrimera División | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Plaza ColoniaCopa Uruguay | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| DanubioPrimera División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Club NacionalPrimera División | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Deportivo MaldonadoPrimera División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cerro LargoCopa Uruguay | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Central EspanolPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atletico TorquePrimera División | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| RentistasCopa Uruguay | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Cerro LargoPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Defensor Sporting’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cerro recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WanderersPrimera División | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| JuventudPrimera División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Deportivo MaldonadoCopa Uruguay | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PenarolPrimera División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ProgresoPrimera División | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| CerritoCopa Uruguay | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Racing MontevideoPrimera División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| WanderersCopa Uruguay | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Boston RiverPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Liverpool MontevideoPrimera División | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Cerro’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Defensor Sporting are ranked 11 in Primera: Tabla Anual, with 35 points from 31 games.
Cerro are ranked 13 in Primera: Tabla Anual, with 33 points from 31 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 62 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 58 |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 52 |
| 6 | Wanderers | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 50 |
| 7 | Liverpool Montevideo | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 49 |
| 8 | Central Espanol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 38 |
| 9 | Albion FC | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 37 |
| 10 | Juventud | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 33 |
| 13 | Cerro | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 33 |
| 14 | Boston River | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Danubio | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
| 16 | Progreso | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 28 |
Defensor Sporting are ranked 8 in Primera: Promedios, with 96 points from 68 games.
Cerro are ranked 14 in Primera: Promedios, with 79 points from 68 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 68 | 43 | 12 | 13 | 116 | 59 | 57 | 141 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 68 | 40 | 14 | 14 | 123 | 71 | 52 | 131 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 58 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 68 | 31 | 21 | 16 | 93 | 67 | 26 | 114 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 68 | 28 | 22 | 18 | 75 | 63 | 12 | 106 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 69 | 30 | 16 | 23 | 107 | 88 | 19 | 106 |
| 7 | Juventud | 68 | 27 | 17 | 24 | 80 | 78 | 2 | 98 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 68 | 26 | 18 | 24 | 70 | 74 | -4 | 96 |
| 9 | Boston River | 68 | 22 | 20 | 26 | 79 | 81 | -2 | 86 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 38 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 68 | 20 | 22 | 26 | 70 | 77 | -7 | 82 |
| 12 | Wanderers | 68 | 20 | 21 | 27 | 65 | 83 | -18 | 81 |
| 13 | Albion FC | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 37 |
| 14 | Cerro | 68 | 21 | 17 | 30 | 56 | 87 | -31 | 79 |
| 15 | Danubio | 69 | 15 | 27 | 27 | 67 | 82 | -15 | 72 |
| 16 | Progreso | 68 | 18 | 13 | 37 | 65 | 106 | -41 | 67 |
Cerro are ranked 6 in Primera: Torneo Intermedio, with 9 points from 7 games.
Defensor Sporting are ranked 7 in Primera: Torneo Intermedio, with 6 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
Defensor Sporting are ranked 8 in Primera: Apertura, with 21 points from 15 games.
Cerro are ranked 16 in Primera: Apertura, with 10 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
Cerro are ranked 8 in Primera: Clausura, with 14 points from 9 games.
Defensor Sporting are ranked 12 in Primera: Clausura, with 8 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Liverpool Montevideo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Penarol | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Wanderers | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Juventud | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Cerro | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Progreso | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Boston River | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Danubio | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Central Espanol | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 5 |
| 16 | Albion FC | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.