First League · Regular Season - 11
Lokomotiv SofiavsLokomotiv Plovdiv
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First League
- Venue
- Lokomotiv Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: match review and analysis
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv in First League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Lokomotiv Sofia recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Lokomotiv Plovdiv recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 7 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Lokomotiv Sofia | Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Lokomotiv Sofia: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 1.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: (0.64 weighted goals scored + 1.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Lokomotiv Sofia recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radnicki NISFriendlies Clubs | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Spartak VarnaFirst League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| CSKA SofiaFirst League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Cherno More VarnaFirst League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LudogoretsFirst League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dunav RuseFirst League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Arda KardzhaliFirst League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| CSKA 1948First League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Slavia SofiaFirst League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Levski SofiaFirst League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Lokomotiv Sofia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lokomotiv Plovdiv recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda KardzhaliFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CSKA SofiaFirst League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Botev PlovdivFirst League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Cherno More VarnaFirst League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| CSKA 1948First League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Arda KardzhaliFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dunav RuseFirst League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Levski SofiaFirst League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Spartak VarnaFirst League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Septemvri SofiaFirst League | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Lokomotiv Plovdiv’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Lokomotiv Sofia are ranked 11 in A PFG, with 7 points from 10 games.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv are ranked 12 in A PFG, with 7 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 24 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 7 |
| 13 | Cherno More Varna | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 6 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.