3. Liga · Regular Season - 8
MSV DuisburgvsHoffenheim II
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. Liga
- Venue
- MSV-Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II: match review and analysis
MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II in 3. Liga on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
MSV Duisburg recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 11. Hoffenheim II recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 15 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | MSV Duisburg | Hoffenheim II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
MSV Duisburg: (2.23 weighted goals scored + 1.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.77 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hoffenheim II: (1.47 weighted goals scored + 1.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
MSV Duisburg recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen3. Liga | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Havelse3. Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf3. Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg3. Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Würzburger Kickers3. Liga | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| SV ElversbergDFB Pokal | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Verl3. Liga | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| SV Meppen3. Liga | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Sparta RotterdamFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Arminia BielefeldFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from MSV Duisburg’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hoffenheim II recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Meppen3. Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Fortuna Köln3. Liga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg3. Liga | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf3. Liga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Hansa Rostock3. Liga | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| FC 08 HomburgFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Freiburg IIFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Hoffenheim II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
MSV Duisburg are ranked 1 in 3 Liga, with 18 points from 7 games.
Hoffenheim II are ranked 5 in 3 Liga, with 13 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | FC Saarbrücken | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim II | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Preußen Münster | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Alemannia Aachen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Waldhof Mannheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Verl | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Fortuna Köln | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Stuttgart II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Würzburger Kickers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | SV Meppen | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | SV Wehen | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Havelse | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.