Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Group 7 - 6
Real AranjuezvsColonia Moscardó
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Real Aranjuez vs Colonia Moscardó: match review and analysis
Real Aranjuez vs Colonia Moscardó in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Real Aranjuez recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 34. Colonia Moscardó recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 17 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Real Aranjuez | Colonia Moscardó |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 34 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Real Aranjuez: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Colonia Moscardó: (1.87 weighted goals scored + 3.32 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.60 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Aranjuez recent form
1.10 goals scored and 3.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Reyes IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 5–3 | Won | |
| Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| RC AlcobendasTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Deportivo Alavés IIIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Madrid 2021 FPTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| RSC InternacionalTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 0–6 | Lost |
Scores shown from Real Aranjuez’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Colonia Moscardó recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Parla EscuelaTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| IntercitySegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| NavalcarneroSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Real Madrid IIISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| OrihuelaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Getafe IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Colonia Moscardó’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Colonia Moscardó are ranked 1 in Tercera: Group 7, with 11 points from 5 games.
Real Aranjuez are ranked 15 in Tercera: Group 7, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colonia Moscardó | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Móstoles | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Las Rozas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Cala Pozuelo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | RC Alcobendas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Fuenlabrada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Leganés II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Torrejón | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Unión Adarve | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Pozuelo Alarcón | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Parla Escuela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Alcobendas Sport | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Aranjuez | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | SS Reyes II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
| 17 | Villanueva Pardillo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.