Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · Group 15 - 6
IzarravsPamplona
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Izarra vs Pamplona: match review and analysis
Izarra vs Pamplona in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Izarra recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 28 and conceding 10. Pamplona recorded 1 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses, with 11 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Izarra | Pamplona |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 7 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 28 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Izarra: (2.99 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.90 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pamplona: (0.80 weighted goals scored + 0.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Izarra recent form
2.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CortesTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Beti KozkorTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| BidezarraTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| San JuanTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| CirboneroTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| PamplonaTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| PamplonaTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SubizaTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| SubizaTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AoizTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Izarra’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pamplona recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HuarteTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CortesTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Doneztebe FTTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Beti KozkorTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AoizTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Real Murcia IITercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Real Murcia IITercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| IzarraTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| IzarraTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| San JuanTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Pamplona’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Izarra are ranked 1 in Tercera: Group 15, with 15 points from 5 games.
Pamplona are ranked 14 in Tercera: Group 15, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izarra | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 16 | 15 |
| 2 | Beti Kozkor | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Gazte Berriak | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Mutilvera | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Aoiz | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Avance Ezcabarte | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Subiza | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | San Juan | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Doneztebe FT | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Valle Egüés | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Txantrea | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Beti Onak | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Cortes | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 5 |
| 14 | Pamplona | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Huarte | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Bidezarra | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 17 | Cantolagua | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 | Cirbonero | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.