Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Group 3 - 6
Naval ReinosavsSolares
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 5 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Naval Reinosa vs Solares: match review and analysis
Naval Reinosa vs Solares in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Naval Reinosa recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 5 games used here, scoring 4 and conceding 13. Solares recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 8 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Naval Reinosa | Solares |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 4 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Naval Reinosa: (0.74 weighted goals scored + 1.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Solares: (0.85 weighted goals scored + 2.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 5 GAMES
Naval Reinosa recent form
0.80 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 4 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SelayaTercera División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| LaredoTercera División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| BezanaTercera División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| TorinaTercera División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| VelardeTercera División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Naval Reinosa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Solares recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EscobedoTercera División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Atlético AlbericiaTercera División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| TropezónTercera División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CastroTercera División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| RevillaTercera División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GuarnizoTercera División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| CartesTercera División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| TropezónTercera División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LaredoTercera División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| EscobedoTercera División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Solares’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Solares are ranked 14 in Tercera: Group 3, with 4 points from 5 games.
Naval Reinosa are ranked 17 in Tercera: Group 3, with 1 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tropezón | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Bezana | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Laredo | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| 4 | Vimenor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Cayón | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Torina | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Sámano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | Revilla | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Selaya | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Atlético Mineros | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
| 11 | Castro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Escobedo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Guarnizo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Solares | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Velarde | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atlético Albericia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 |
| 17 | Naval Reinosa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 1 |
| 18 | Barquereño | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.