Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 · Group 13 - 6
Santa CruzvsCotillas CD
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 5 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Santa Cruz vs Cotillas CD: match review and analysis
Santa Cruz vs Cotillas CD in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Santa Cruz recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Cotillas CD recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 7 scored and 8 conceded across 5 games.
| Statistic | Santa Cruz | Cotillas CD |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 5 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Santa Cruz: (1.34 weighted goals scored + 1.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cotillas CD: (1.31 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Santa Cruz recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AlcantarillaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Águilas IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mazarrón FCTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Olímpico TotanaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| San JavierTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Cartagena LU IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Real Murcia IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Yeclano IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| SFC MinervaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atlético PulpileñoTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Santa Cruz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 5 GAMES
Cotillas CD recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 5 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala AzulTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Atlético PulpileñoTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AlcantarillaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Águilas IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Mazarrón FCTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Cotillas CD’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cotillas CD are ranked 8 in Tercera: Group 13, with 7 points from 5 games.
Santa Cruz are ranked 9 in Tercera: Group 13, with 6 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | San Javier | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Alcantarilla | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Unión Molinense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Atlético Pulpileño | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Olímpico Totana | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | SFC Minerva | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Cotillas CD | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | UCAM Murcia II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Bullas Deportivo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Águilas II | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Bala Azul | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Los Garres | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Cartagena LU II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Balsicas Atlético | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Algar | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Mazarrón FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.