Serie C - Girone A · Girone A - 9
NovaravsCittadella
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie C - Girone A
- Venue
- Stadio Silvio Piola
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Novara vs Cittadella: match review and analysis
Novara vs Cittadella in Serie C - Girone A on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Novara recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Cittadella recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 20 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Novara | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Novara: (0.91 weighted goals scored + 0.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cittadella: (1.87 weighted goals scored + 1.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Novara recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolomiti BellunesiSerie C - Girone A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| OspitalettoSerie C - Girone A | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Athletic CarpiSerie C - Girone A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LumezzaneSerie C - Girone A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| RenateSerie C - Girone A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| LivornoCoppa Italia Serie C | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Folgore CarateseSerie C - Girone A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Juventus U23Serie C - Girone A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AlcioneCoppa Italia Serie C | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Novara’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cittadella recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AlbinoleffeSerie C - Girone A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LeccoSerie C - Girone A | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| OspitalettoSerie C - Girone A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Juventus U23Serie C - Girone A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Athletic CarpiSerie C - Girone A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| LumezzaneSerie C - Girone A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| RenateCoppa Italia Serie C | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| RenateSerie C - Girone A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Atalanta IICoppa Italia Serie C | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Cittadella’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie C - Girone A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cittadella are ranked 1 in Serie C: Girone A, with 21 points from 8 games.
Novara are ranked 11 in Serie C: Girone A, with 9 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Albinoleffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | PRO Vercelli | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Athletic Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.