Premier League · Regular Season - 7
MarsaxlokkvsZabbar St. Patrick
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Marsaxlokk vs Zabbar St. Patrick: match review and analysis
Marsaxlokk vs Zabbar St. Patrick in Premier League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Marsaxlokk recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 14. Zabbar St. Patrick recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses, with 7 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Marsaxlokk | Zabbar St. Patrick |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Marsaxlokk: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Zabbar St. Patrick: (0.67 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Marsaxlokk recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamrun SpartansPremier League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| FlorianaPremier League | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| MostaPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Valletta FCPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| HiberniansPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Balzan FCPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gzira UnitedFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Zabbar St. PatrickFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Pyunik YerevanUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Pyunik YerevanUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Marsaxlokk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Zabbar St. Patrick recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BirkirkaraPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Gzira UnitedPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Hamrun SpartansPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| HiberniansPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BirzebbugaPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Valletta FCPremier League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| MarsaxlokkFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BirkirkaraFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Tarxien RainbowsPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tarxien RainbowsPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Zabbar St. Patrick’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Marsaxlokk are ranked 3 in Premier Division: First stage - Main, with 11 points from 6 games.
Zabbar St. Patrick are ranked 9 in Premier Division: First stage - Main, with 5 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Floriana | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Valletta FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Mosta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Birkirkara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Hamrun Spartans | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sliema Wanderers | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Balzan FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Hibernians | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 |
| 11 | Gzira United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
| 12 | Birzebbuga | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.