Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 6
LangreovsLealtad
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Langreo vs Lealtad: match review and analysis
Langreo vs Lealtad in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Langreo recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 23. Lealtad recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 15 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Langreo | Lealtad |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 23 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Langreo: (1.87 weighted goals scored + 1.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lealtad: (1.31 weighted goals scored + 2.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Langreo recent form
1.70 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón IITercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PravianoTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| L'EntreguTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| CovadongaTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CearesTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Marino de LuancoFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| LlanesFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Real Oviedo IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Real Valladolid IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Langreo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lealtad recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avilés StadiumTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| LlanesTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sporting Gijón IITercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PravianoTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| L'EntreguTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Salamanca UDSSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CoruxoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| UD OurenseSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Real Valladolid IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Atlético AstorgaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 4–3 | Won |
Scores shown from Lealtad’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Langreo are ranked 8 in Tercera: Group 2, with 8 points from 5 games.
Lealtad are ranked 10 in Tercera: Group 2, with 7 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Covadonga | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Sporting Gijón II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Mosconia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Condal | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Colunga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Caudal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Siero | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Langreo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Gijón Industrial | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Lealtad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | San Martín | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 12 | Praviano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | L'Entregu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Ceares | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Llanes | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Avilés Stadium | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Astur | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Andes | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.