Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Group 12 - 6
Laguna de DuerovsPanadería Pulido
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Laguna de Duero vs Panadería Pulido: match review and analysis
Laguna de Duero vs Panadería Pulido in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Laguna de Duero recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 27. Panadería Pulido recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Laguna de Duero | Panadería Pulido |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 27 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Laguna de Duero: (0.82 weighted goals scored + 1.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Panadería Pulido: (1.57 weighted goals scored + 2.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Laguna de Duero recent form
0.80 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Unión de TenerifeTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MarinoTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Los LlanosTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| UD San FernandoTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Cultural Leonesa IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Atlético MansillésTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Ciudad RodrigoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Laguna de Duero’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Panadería Pulido recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AnazaTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Real Unión de TenerifeTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Tenerife CTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| MarinoTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| UD San FernandoTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| UD San FernandoTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Unión Sur YaizaTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| San MiguelTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atlético PasoTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Las Palmas IIITercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Panadería Pulido’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Panadería Pulido are ranked 8 in Group 12, with 7 points from 4 games.
Laguna de Duero are ranked 16 in Group 12, with 1 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Miguel | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Real Unión de Tenerife | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Mensajero | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Las Palmas III | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | San Bartolomé | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Marino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Panadería Pulido | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Los Llanos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Lanzarote | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Villa Santa Brígida | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Tenerife C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Estrella | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Anaza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Laguna de Duero | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
| 17 | Villaverde Norte | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Playas Sotavento | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.