8 Cup · Final
Orlando PiratesvsMamelodi Sundowns
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 8 Cup
- Venue
- Moses Mabhida Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns: match review and analysis
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns in 8 Cup on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Orlando Pirates recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 2. Mamelodi Sundowns recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 21 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Orlando Pirates | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 2 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Orlando Pirates: (2.19 weighted goals scored + 0.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mamelodi Sundowns: (2.05 weighted goals scored + 0.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Orlando Pirates recent form
2.10 goals scored and 0.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marumo GallantsPremier Soccer League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Durban CityPremier Soccer League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| La Cure WavesCAF Champions League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| La Cure WavesCAF Champions League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kruger UnitedPremier Soccer League | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Sekhukhune United8 Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Sekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sekhukhune United8 Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Chippa UnitedPremier Soccer League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| AmazuluPremier Soccer League | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Orlando Pirates’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mamelodi Sundowns recent form
2.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli JeddahFIFA Intercontinental Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Chippa UnitedPremier Soccer League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SiwelelePremier Soccer League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Golden ArrowsPremier Soccer League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Milford FCPremier Soccer League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Golden Arrows8 Cup | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| AmazuluPremier Soccer League | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Golden Arrows8 Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Marumo GallantsPremier Soccer League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kaizer ChiefsPremier Soccer League | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Mamelodi Sundowns’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
8 Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.