Segunda División · 2nd Phase - 22
Uruguay MontevideovsColón
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón: match review and analysis
Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón in Segunda División on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Uruguay Montevideo recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 15. Colón recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 7 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Uruguay Montevideo | Colón |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Uruguay Montevideo: (0.75 weighted goals scored + 1.56 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Colón: (0.51 weighted goals scored + 1.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Uruguay Montevideo recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FenixSegunda División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| RentistasSegunda División | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| MiramarSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TacuaremboSegunda División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Plaza ColoniaSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| La LuzSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CerritoSegunda División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| AtenasSegunda División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PaysanduSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sportivo HuracanSegunda División | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Uruguay Montevideo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Colón recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OrientalSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CA River PlateSegunda División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Liverpool MontevideoCopa Uruguay | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| FenixSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RentistasSegunda División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Boston RiverCopa Uruguay | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MiramarSegunda División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FenixCopa Uruguay | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| TacuaremboSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Plaza ColoniaSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Colón’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Colón are ranked 5 in 1st Phase, with 9 points from 6 games.
Uruguay Montevideo are ranked 6 in 1st Phase, with 9 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Fenix | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Sportivo Huracan | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Colón | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Miramar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Paysandu | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Tacuarembo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
Colón are ranked 6 in 2nd Phase, with 30 points from 21 games.
Uruguay Montevideo are ranked 14 in 2nd Phase, with 17 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Rentistas | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 33 |
| 3 | Oriental | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Plaza Colonia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 32 |
| 5 | CA River Plate | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 30 |
| 6 | Colón | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 30 |
| 7 | Cerrito | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 29 |
| 8 | Fenix | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | La Luz | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 27 |
| 10 | Sportivo Huracan | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Paysandu | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Miramar | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 25 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 17 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.