Championship · Regular Season - 11
Annagh UnitedvsGlenavon FC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Match information
- Competition
- Championship
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Annagh United vs Glenavon FC: match review and analysis
Annagh United vs Glenavon FC in Championship on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Annagh United recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 13. Glenavon FC recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 25 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Annagh United | Glenavon FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 24 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Annagh United: (2.59 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Glenavon FC: (2.47 weighted goals scored + 1.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Annagh United recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrenpoint TownChampionship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| InstituteChampionship | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Newry City AFCChampionship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| H&W WeldersChampionship | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| ArdsChampionship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ballinamallard UnitedChampionship | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Moyola ParkChampionship | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| DundelaChampionship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| RathfrilandChampionship | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Newington YouthChampionship | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Annagh United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Glenavon FC recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moyola ParkChampionship | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| LoughgallChampionship | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Newington YouthChampionship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ballinamallard UnitedChampionship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DundelaChampionship | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| RathfrilandChampionship | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Armagh CityChampionship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Strabane AthleticChampionship | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Newry City AFCChampionship | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| ArdsChampionship | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Glenavon FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Annagh United are ranked 1 in Championship 1, with 21 points from 10 games.
Glenavon FC are ranked 2 in Championship 1, with 20 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annagh United | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Glenavon FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Newington Youth | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Queen's University | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 19 |
| 5 | Newry City AFC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Institute | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | H&W Welders | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Ards | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Loughgall | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Dundela | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Moyola Park | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Rathfriland | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | Armagh City | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.