National League · Regular Season - 13
Forest GreenvsHartlepool
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League
- Venue
- The New Lawn
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Forest Green vs Hartlepool: match review and analysis
Forest Green vs Hartlepool in National League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Forest Green recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 16. Hartlepool recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses, with 4 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Forest Green | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 4 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Forest Green: (1.49 weighted goals scored + 1.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hartlepool: (0.44 weighted goals scored + 1.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Forest Green recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WealdstoneNational League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sutton UtdNational League | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Boston UnitedNational League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| CarlisleNational League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GatesheadNational League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| AFC HornchurchNational League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AltrinchamNational League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AFC FyldeNational League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Boreham WoodNational League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| WorthingNational League | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Forest Green’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hartlepool recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TamworthNational League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Harrogate TownNational League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ScunthorpeNational League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| WorthingNational League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AltrinchamNational League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kidderminster HarriersNational League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Everton U21National League Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| WokingNational League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC Halifax TownNational League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EastleighNational League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Hartlepool’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Forest Green are ranked 16 in Conference, with 15 points from 11 games.
Hartlepool are ranked 22 in Conference, with 9 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster Harriers | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | AFC Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Halifax Town | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.