Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
Austria ViennavsSturm Graz
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Venue
- Generali Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz: match review and analysis
Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz in Bundesliga on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Austria Vienna recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 13. Sturm Graz recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Austria Vienna | Sturm Graz |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Austria Vienna: (2.16 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sturm Graz: (1.47 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Austria Vienna recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admira WackerFriendlies Clubs | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| Grazer AKBundesliga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Austria LustenauBundesliga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| TraiskirchenCup | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| WSG WattensBundesliga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| SC BragaUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SC BragaUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TSV HartbergBundesliga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Beitar JerusalemUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Austria Vienna’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sturm Graz recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Floridsdorfer ACFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| RennesUEFA Europa League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Lask LinzBundesliga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| VoitsbergCup | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Rapid ViennaBundesliga | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Austria LustenauBundesliga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SCR AltachBundesliga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FenerbahçeUEFA Champions League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TSV HartbergBundesliga | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sturm Graz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Bundesliga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sturm Graz are ranked 4 in Bundesliga, with 11 points from 7 games.
Austria Vienna are ranked 10 in Bundesliga, with 7 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 17 |
| 3 | Lask Linz | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 5 | Ried | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 | WSG Wattens | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Austria Lustenau | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Grazer AK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 8 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Wolfsberger AC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
| 12 | SCR Altach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.