Iraqi League · Regular Season - 9
Al-KarmavsAl Karkh
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Iraqi League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Al-Karma vs Al Karkh: match review and analysis
Al-Karma vs Al Karkh in Iraqi League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Al-Karma recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 6. Al Karkh recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 11 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Al-Karma | Al Karkh |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Al-Karma: (1.69 weighted goals scored + 1.76 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.73 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Al Karkh: (1.26 weighted goals scored + 0.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Al-Karma recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZakhoIraqi League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ErbilIraqi League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| NaftIraqi League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| DiyalaIraqi League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| KarbalaIraqi League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Al KahrabaaIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al ShortaIraqi League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| MosulIraqi League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DiyalaIraqi League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Al TalabaIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Al-Karma’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Al Karkh recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft MaysanIraqi League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| DuhokIraqi League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Al TalabaIraqi League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| KarbalaIraqi League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al KahrabaaIraqi League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ErbilIraqi League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al-Jolan SCIraqi League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NaftIraqi League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Al TalabaIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al ShortaIraqi League | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Al Karkh’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Iraqi League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Al-Karma are ranked 1 in Iraqi League, with 20 points from 8 games.
Al Karkh are ranked 17 in Iraqi League, with 7 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Newroz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Zawra'a | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Erbil | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Naft | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Al-Jolan SC | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Minaa Basra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Diyala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Talaba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Naft Maysan | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Kahrabaa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Gharraf | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.