Primera División · Clausura - 11
ADTvsFC Cajamarca
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División
- Venue
- Estadio Union Tarma
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
ADT vs FC Cajamarca: match review and analysis
ADT vs FC Cajamarca in Primera División on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
ADT recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 22. FC Cajamarca recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 18 scored and 24 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | ADT | FC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 24 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
ADT: (0.79 weighted goals scored + 2.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FC Cajamarca: (1.93 weighted goals scored + 2.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
ADT recent form
0.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CristalCopa De La Liga | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Sporting CristalCopa De La Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CiencianoPrimera División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Alianza LimaPrimera División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FBC MelgarPrimera División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Sport HuancayoPrimera División | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| UCV MoqueguaCopa De La Liga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Juan Pablo II CollegePrimera División | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Alianza AtleticoPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| UTC CajamarcaPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from ADT’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Cajamarca recent form
1.80 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CuscoPrimera División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CiencianoPrimera División | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Comerciantes UnidosPrimera División | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Atletico GrauPrimera División | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| UniversitarioPrimera División | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| FBC MelgarPrimera División | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Sport HuancayoPrimera División | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Deportivo GarcilasoPrimera División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Juan Pablo II CollegePrimera División | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from FC Cajamarca’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FC Cajamarca are ranked 15 in Primera Division: Tabla Anual, with 27 points from 27 games.
ADT are ranked 16 in Primera Division: Tabla Anual, with 25 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Universitario | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 49 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 48 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Cusco | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 44 |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 43 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 40 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 38 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 35 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | ADT | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 25 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 25 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 15 |
ADT are ranked 10 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 20 points from 17 games.
FC Cajamarca are ranked 15 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 17 points from 17 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 16 |
FC Cajamarca are ranked 13 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 10 points from 10 games.
ADT are ranked 17 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 5 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atletico | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 17 |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 9 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | ADT | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 5 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.