Mineiro - 3 · Regular Season - 4
Novo Esporte ClubevsNacional AC MG
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Mineiro - 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Novo Esporte Clube vs Nacional AC MG: match review and analysis
Novo Esporte Clube vs Nacional AC MG in Mineiro - 3 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Novo Esporte Clube recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Nacional AC MG recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 11 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Novo Esporte Clube | Nacional AC MG |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Novo Esporte Clube: (0.91 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nacional AC MG: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Novo Esporte Clube recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venda NovaMineiro - 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Nova LavrasMineiro - 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Inter de MinasMineiro - 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ParacatuMineiro - 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CoimbraMineiro - 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BOAMineiro - 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| EssubeMineiro - 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| TupiMineiro - 3 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Inter de MinasMineiro - 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Boston City FC BrasilMineiro - 3 | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Novo Esporte Clube’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Nacional AC MG recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nova LavrasMineiro - 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Inter de MinasMineiro - 3 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| SantarritenseMineiro - 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| ValeriodoceMineiro - 2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| North EsporteMineiro - 2 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BetimMineiro - 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Guarani MGMineiro - 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Democrata SLMineiro - 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Guarani MGMineiro - 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BetimMineiro - 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Nacional AC MG’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Mineiro - 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Nacional AC MG are ranked 2 in Mineiro 3, with 9 points from 3 games.
Novo Esporte Clube are ranked 3 in Mineiro 3, with 4 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venda Nova | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 10 |
| 1 | Paracatu | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Nacional AC MG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Betim 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Novo Esporte Clube | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 | Sao Joao del Rei | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Inter de Minas | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Funorte | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
| 5 | Nova Lavras | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Araxá | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Santarritense | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | -17 | 0 |
| 6 | Siderurgica | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.