Copa Santa Catarina · Group Stage - 6
FigueirensevsHercílio Luz
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa Santa Catarina
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Figueirense vs Hercílio Luz: match review and analysis
Figueirense vs Hercílio Luz in Copa Santa Catarina on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Figueirense recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Hercílio Luz recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 20 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Figueirense | Hercílio Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Figueirense: (1.24 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hercílio Luz: (2.12 weighted goals scored + 0.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Figueirense recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MetropolitanoCopa Santa Catarina | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Santa CatarinaCopa Santa Catarina | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| NaçãoCopa Santa Catarina | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BarraCopa Santa Catarina | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MaranhãoSerie C | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Inter De LimeiraSerie C | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CaxiasSerie C | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FerroviáriaSerie C | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Santa CruzSerie C | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Volta RedondaSerie C | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Figueirense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hercílio Luz recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NaçãoCopa Santa Catarina | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Marcílio DiasCopa Santa Catarina | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| JoinvilleCopa Santa Catarina | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| MetropolitanoCopa Santa Catarina | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| NaçãoCatarinense - 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CaravaggioCatarinense - 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TubaraoCatarinense - 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Juventus SCCatarinense - 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BlumenauCatarinense - 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Guarani de PalhoçaCatarinense - 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Hercílio Luz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa Santa Catarina — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.