Carioca - 2 · Regular Season - 6
Nova CidadevsCampo Grande
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Carioca - 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Nova Cidade vs Campo Grande: match review and analysis
Nova Cidade vs Campo Grande in Carioca - 2 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Nova Cidade recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Campo Grande recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 9 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Nova Cidade | Campo Grande |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Nova Cidade: (0.76 weighted goals scored + 0.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Campo Grande: (0.95 weighted goals scored + 1.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Nova Cidade recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audax RioCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| GoytacazCarioca - 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NiteroienseCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| São Cristóvão RJCarioca - 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Duque de CaxiasCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| FriburguenseCarioca - 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Campo GrandeCarioca - 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Duque de CaxiasCarioca - 2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BonsucessoCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ArtsulCarioca - 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Nova Cidade’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Campo Grande recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PetrópolisCarioca - 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Serrano RJCarioca - 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MacaéCarioca - 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ArtsulCarioca - 2 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| CarapebusCarioca - 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| PetrópolisCarioca - 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nova CidadeCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CarapebusCarioca - 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NiteroienseCarioca - 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PaduanoCarioca - 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Campo Grande’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Carioca - 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Campo Grande are ranked 6 in Carioca 2, with 8 points from 5 games.
Nova Cidade are ranked 10 in Carioca 2, with 2 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niteroiense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Petrópolis | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Goytacaz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Duque de Caxias | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Artsul | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Campo Grande | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Serrano RJ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Macaé | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | São Cristóvão RJ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2 |
| 11 | Carapebus | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 12 | Audax Rio | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.