Primera Nacional · Regular Season - 33
AlmagrovsChacarita Juniors
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Nacional
- Venue
- Estadio Tres de Febrero
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors: match review and analysis
Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors in Primera Nacional on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Almagro recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 14. Chacarita Juniors recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 6 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Almagro | Chacarita Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Almagro: (0.86 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Chacarita Juniors: (0.66 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Almagro recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martin S.J.Primera Nacional | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TemperleyPrimera Nacional | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Deportivo MaipuPrimera Nacional | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Gimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PatronatoPrimera Nacional | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ColegialesPrimera Nacional | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Deportivo MoronPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| QuilmesPrimera Nacional | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gimnasia Y TiroPrimera Nacional | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Almagro’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Chacarita Juniors recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PatronatoPrimera Nacional | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ColegialesPrimera Nacional | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| QuilmesPrimera Nacional | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| MidlandPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AtlantaPrimera Nacional | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Gimnasia Y TiroPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| San Martin TucumanPrimera Nacional | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Club Atlético GüemesPrimera Nacional | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CA EstudiantesPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Atletico DE RafaelaPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Chacarita Juniors’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Nacional — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensores De Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 37 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 37 |
| 14 | Atletico Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 35 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 33 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 29 |
Almagro are ranked 13 in Group 2, with 38 points from 32 games.
Chacarita Juniors are ranked 17 in Group 2, with 33 points from 32 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 15 | 17 | 58 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 55 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 54 |
| 5 | Midland | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 48 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin Tucuman | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Almagro | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 38 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 36 |
| 16 | Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 54 | -31 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.