Liga I · Regular Season - 11
FCSB1–0Oţelul
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga I
- Venue
- Arena Națională
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
FCSB vs Oţelul: match review and analysis
FCSB vs Oţelul in Liga I on 10 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
FCSB recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 21. Oţelul recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with 9 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FCSB | Oţelul |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 21 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FCSB: (1.57 weighted goals scored + 2.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Oţelul: (0.91 weighted goals scored + 2.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FCSB recent form
1.50 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitatea CraiovaLiga I | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Petrolul PloiestiLiga I | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Dinamo BucurestiLiga I | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Arges PitestiCupa României | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Uta AradLiga I | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| CFR 1907 ClujLiga I | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC BotosaniLiga I | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Farul ConstantaLiga I | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AudaUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from FCSB’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Oţelul recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC BacauFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Corvinul HunedoaraLiga I | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Universitatea ClujLiga I | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| RapidLiga I | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC VoluntariLiga I | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Arges PitestiLiga I | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ConcordiaCupa României | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Universitatea CraiovaLiga I | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Petrolul PloiestiLiga I | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dinamo BucurestiLiga I | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Oţelul’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga I — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FCSB are ranked 11 in Liga I, with 12 points from 10 games.
Oţelul are ranked 14 in Liga I, with 10 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 26 |
| 2 | Rapid | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 20 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Farul Constanta | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 13 |
| 10 | Uta Arad | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | FCSB | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Botosani | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 8 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.