Primera División · Apertura - 21
Universitario de Vinto1–3Real Oruro
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División
- Venue
- Estadio Hipolito Lazarte
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–3
- 90-minute score
- 1–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro: match review and analysis
Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro in Primera División on 10 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Universitario de Vinto recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 19. Real Oruro recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 11 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Universitario de Vinto | Real Oruro |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Universitario de Vinto: (1.79 weighted goals scored + 1.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Real Oruro: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 1.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Universitario de Vinto recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oriente PetroleroCopa de la División Profesional | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| The StrongestCopa de la División Profesional | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| GuabiráCopa de la División Profesional | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Oriente PetroleroCopa de la División Profesional | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| AuroraCopa de la División Profesional | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| BloomingPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Independiente PetroleroPrimera División | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| The StrongestCopa de la División Profesional | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ABBPrimera División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AuroraCopa de la División Profesional | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Universitario de Vinto’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Oruro recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real TomayapoCopa de la División Profesional | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Nacional PotosíCopa de la División Profesional | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Always ReadyCopa de la División Profesional | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Real TomayapoCopa de la División Profesional | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJCopa de la División Profesional | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Real PotosíPrimera División | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| The StrongestPrimera División | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Nacional PotosíCopa de la División Profesional | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| San Antonio Bulo BuloPrimera División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJCopa de la División Profesional | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Real Oruro’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Real Oruro are ranked 11 in Primera División, with 21 points from 20 games.
Universitario de Vinto are ranked 14 in Primera División, with 18 points from 20 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 45 |
| 2 | Bolívar | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 45 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 42 |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 32 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Aurora | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 30 |
| 7 | Guabirá | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 29 |
| 8 | Blooming | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 27 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosí | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 27 |
| 10 | Independiente Petrolero | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 21 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
| 13 | ABB | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 20 |
| 14 | Universitario de Vinto | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 18 |
| 15 | Real Tomayapo | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 17 |
| 16 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.