Liga Pro Serie B · Relegation Group - 7
Gualaceo SCvsCumbayá
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Pro Serie B
- Venue
- Estadio Jorge Andrade
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Gualaceo SC vs Cumbayá: match review and analysis
Gualaceo SC vs Cumbayá in Liga Pro Serie B on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Gualaceo SC recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 9. Cumbayá recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 14 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Gualaceo SC | Cumbayá |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Gualaceo SC: (1.57 weighted goals scored + 1.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cumbayá: (1.83 weighted goals scored + 0.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Gualaceo SC recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 de JulioLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Santo DomingoLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Independiente del ValleCopa Ecuador | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LDU PortoviejoLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CumbayáLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| El NacionalLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Atletico FCLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| San AntonioLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ind. JuniorsLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Gualaceo SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cumbayá recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santo DomingoLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| El NacionalLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| 22 de JulioLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 7–1 | Won | |
| Gualaceo SCLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Santo DomingoLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LDU PortoviejoLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Atletico FCLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Santo DomingoLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| LDU PortoviejoLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Cumbayá’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Pro Serie B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Gualaceo SC are ranked 7 in Liga Pro Serie B, with 29 points from 22 games.
Cumbayá are ranked 10 in Liga Pro Serie B, with 26 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Juniors | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico FC | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | 9 de Octubre | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 | Cuniburo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 31 |
| 7 | Gualaceo SC | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 29 |
| 8 | Santo Domingo | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 27 |
| 10 | Cumbayá | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 15 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 12 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.