Pernambucano - U20 · Quarter-finals
Academica Vitoria U20vsRetrô U20
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 7 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Pernambucano - U20
- Venue
- Estadio Municipal Severino Candido Carneiro
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Academica Vitoria U20 vs Retrô U20: match review and analysis
Academica Vitoria U20 vs Retrô U20 in Pernambucano - U20 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Academica Vitoria U20 recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the 7 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Retrô U20 recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 20 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Academica Vitoria U20 | Retrô U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Academica Vitoria U20: (1.67 weighted goals scored + 0.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Retrô U20: (2.13 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 7 GAMES
Academica Vitoria U20 recent form
1.71 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. 7 of 7 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Recife U20Pernambucano - U20 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Petrolina U20Pernambucano - U20 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nautico U20Pernambucano - U20 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Guarany U20Pernambucano - U20 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Serrano PE U20Pernambucano - U20 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| America PE U20Pernambucano - U20 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Jaguar U20Pernambucano - U20 | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Academica Vitoria U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 7 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Retrô U20 recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Torres U20Pernambucano - U20 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Central SC U20Pernambucano - U20 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Santa Cruz U20Pernambucano - U20 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| 1º de Maio U20Pernambucano - U20 | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Atletico PE U20Pernambucano - U20 | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Ipojuca U20Pernambucano - U20 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CA Porto U20Pernambucano - U20 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ibis Sport Club U20Pernambucano - U20 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Internacional U20São Paulo Youth Cup | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Juventus U20São Paulo Youth Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Retrô U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Pernambucano - U20 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Retrô U20 are ranked 2 in Pernambucano U20: Regular season, with 17 points from 8 games.
Academica Vitoria U20 are ranked 3 in Pernambucano U20: Regular season, with 15 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Cruz U20 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 29 | 20 |
| 1 | Sport Recife U20 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 2 | 20 | 18 |
| 2 | Retrô U20 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 17 |
| 2 | Nautico U20 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Ipojuca U20 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Academica Vitoria U20 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | CA Porto U20 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 14 |
| 4 | America PE U20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 5 | Central SC U20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Petrolina U20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 10 |
| 6 | 1º de Maio U20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 8 |
| 6 | Serrano PE U20 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Ibis Sport Club U20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 7 |
| 7 | Jaguar U20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 |
| 8 | Atletico PE U20 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 3 |
| 8 | Guarany U20 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 36 | -33 | 0 |
| 9 | Atletico Torres U20 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 24 | -22 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.