Liga Nacional · Regular Season - 13
AuroravsXelajú
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Nacional
- Venue
- Estadio Guillermo Slowing
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Aurora vs Xelajú: match review and analysis
Aurora vs Xelajú in Liga Nacional on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Aurora recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 17. Xelajú recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 20 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Aurora | Xelajú |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Aurora: (1.53 weighted goals scored + 1.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Xelajú: (2.05 weighted goals scored + 1.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Aurora recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GuastatoyaLiga Nacional | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Cobán ImperialLiga Nacional | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| MarquenseLiga Nacional | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MixcoLiga Nacional | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| MunicipalLiga Nacional | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Antigua GFCLiga Nacional | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MalacatecoLiga Nacional | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SuchitepéquezLiga Nacional | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Deportivo San PedroLiga Nacional | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ComunicacionesLiga Nacional | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Aurora’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Xelajú recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo San PedroLiga Nacional | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| ComunicacionesLiga Nacional | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Antigua GFCLiga Nacional | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| SuchitepéquezLiga Nacional | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| GuastatoyaLiga Nacional | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Cobán ImperialLiga Nacional | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MarquenseLiga Nacional | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| MixcoLiga Nacional | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| FirpoCONCACAF Central American Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MunicipalLiga Nacional | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Xelajú’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Nacional — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.