Primera Division · Apertura - 15
Fuerte San FranciscovsCacahuatique
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique: match review and analysis
Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique in Primera Division on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Fuerte San Francisco recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 16. Cacahuatique recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 6 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fuerte San Francisco | Cacahuatique |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fuerte San Francisco: (0.54 weighted goals scored + 1.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.08 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cacahuatique: (0.68 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fuerte San Francisco recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| InterPrimera Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FirpoPrimera Division | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PlatensePrimera Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AlianzaPrimera Division | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Inca ArubaPrimera Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Municipal LimeñoPrimera Division | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FASPrimera Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ÁguilaPrimera Division | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Atletico BalboaPrimera Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Isidro MetapánPrimera Division | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Fuerte San Francisco’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cacahuatique recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ÁguilaPrimera Division | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Atletico BalboaPrimera Division | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Isidro MetapánPrimera Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FirpoPrimera Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FASPrimera Division | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| InterPrimera Division | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PlatensePrimera Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Inca ArubaPrimera Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Municipal LimeñoPrimera Division | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AlianzaPrimera Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Cacahuatique’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cacahuatique are ranked 11 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 11 points from 14 games.
Fuerte San Francisco are ranked 12 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 9 points from 14 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FAS | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Isidro Metapán | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Firpo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
| 4 | Inter | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 | Águila | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Alianza | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeño | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Platense | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.