Liga Nacional · Apertura - 9
GénesisvsCD Olimpia
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Nacional
- Venue
- Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Génesis vs CD Olimpia: match review and analysis
Génesis vs CD Olimpia in Liga Nacional on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Génesis recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 9. CD Olimpia recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 25 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Génesis | CD Olimpia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Génesis: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 0.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
CD Olimpia: (2.40 weighted goals scored + 0.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Génesis recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OlanchoLiga Nacional | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CD MotaguaLiga Nacional | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| JuticalpaLiga Nacional | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| CD MarathonLiga Nacional | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atletico IndependienteLiga Nacional | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Platense FCLiga Nacional | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Real EspanaLiga Nacional | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Atlético CholomaLiga Nacional | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CD MotaguaLiga Nacional | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| OlanchoLiga Nacional | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Génesis’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
CD Olimpia recent form
2.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico IndependienteLiga Nacional | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| FirpoCONCACAF Central American Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| CD MarathonLiga Nacional | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FirpoCONCACAF Central American Cup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Platense FCLiga Nacional | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Estrella RojaLiga Nacional | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Deportivo SaprissaCONCACAF Central American Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| OlanchoLiga Nacional | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Alianza FCCONCACAF Central American Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| CD MotaguaLiga Nacional | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from CD Olimpia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Nacional — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
CD Olimpia are ranked 2 in Apertura, with 17 points from 8 games.
Génesis are ranked 5 in Apertura, with 11 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Espana | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | CD Olimpia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | CD Marathon | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Génesis | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Olancho | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Estrella Roja | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Atletico Independiente | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Lobos Upnfm | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 | Platense FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 8 |
| 11 | Atlético Choloma | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.