Primera División · Clausura - 12
Deportivo Tachira FC4–1UCV
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División
- Venue
- Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–1
- 90-minute score
- 4–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV: match review and analysis
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV in Primera División on 10 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Deportivo Tachira FC recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 14. UCV recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 12 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Deportivo Tachira FC | UCV |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Deportivo Tachira FC: (2.04 weighted goals scored + 0.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
UCV: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 1.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportivo Tachira FC recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La GuairaPrimera División | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Puerto CabelloPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Estudiantes de Merida FCPrimera División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Rayo ZulianoPrimera División | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Zamora FCPrimera División | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| Caracas FCPrimera División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Metropolitanos FCPrimera División | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Monagas SCPrimera División | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Trujillanos FCPrimera División | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Portuguesa FCPrimera División | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Deportivo Tachira FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
UCV recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carabobo FCPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Anzoátegui FCPrimera División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo La GuairaPrimera División | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Puerto CabelloPrimera División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Estudiantes de Merida FCPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rayo ZulianoPrimera División | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Zamora FCPrimera División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Caracas FCPrimera División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Metropolitanos FCPrimera División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Monagas SCPrimera División | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from UCV’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Deportivo Tachira FC are ranked 2 in Primera Division: Tabla Anual, with 47 points from 24 games.
UCV are ranked 4 in Primera Division: Tabla Anual, with 38 points from 24 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 43 |
| 4 | UCV | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 38 |
| 5 | Carabobo FC | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 37 |
| 6 | Portuguesa FC | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 37 |
| 7 | Puerto Cabello | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 36 |
| 8 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 36 |
| 9 | Caracas FC | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Monagas SC | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Zamora FC | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 25 |
| 12 | Rayo Zuliano | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 25 |
| 13 | Trujillanos FC | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 15 |
| 14 | Anzoátegui FC | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 45 | -24 | 14 |
Deportivo Tachira FC are ranked 3 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 24 points from 13 games.
UCV are ranked 4 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 23 points from 13 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | UCV | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Portuguesa FC | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Carabobo FC | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Puerto Cabello | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Zamora FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Caracas FC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 | Monagas SC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 11 |
| 13 | Anzoátegui FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Trujillanos FC | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 4 |
Deportivo Tachira FC are ranked 2 in Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular, with 11 points from 6 games.
UCV are ranked 4 in Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular, with 6 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 1 | Carabobo FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Portuguesa FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 4 | UCV | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
Deportivo Tachira FC are ranked 2 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 23 points from 11 games.
UCV are ranked 8 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 15 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | Carabobo FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Portuguesa FC | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | Deportivo La Guaira | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | UCV | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Monagas SC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Caracas FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Trujillanos FC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Zamora FC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Anzoátegui FC | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.