USL League One · Group Stage
Charlotte IndependencevsNY Cosmos
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- USL League One
- Venue
- American Legion Memorial Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos: match review and analysis
Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos in USL League One on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Charlotte Independence recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 15. NY Cosmos recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 18 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Charlotte Independence | NY Cosmos |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 24 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Charlotte Independence: (2.47 weighted goals scored + 1.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
NY Cosmos: (1.81 weighted goals scored + 1.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Charlotte Independence recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarasota ParadiseUSL League One | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Fort WayneUSL League One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Richmond KickersUSL League One | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| BoiseUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Westchester SCUSL League One | Home | 5–4 | Won | |
| Union OmahaUSL League One | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Portland Hearts of PineUSL League One | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| AltaUSL League One | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Forward MadisonUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sarasota ParadiseUSL League One | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Charlotte Independence’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
NY Cosmos recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NaplesUSL League One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Richmond KickersUSL League One | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Westchester SCUSL League One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BoiseUSL League One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Fort WayneUSL League One | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Sarasota ParadiseUSL League One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Union OmahaUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Corpus ChristiUSL League One | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AltaUSL League One | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from NY Cosmos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
USL League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Charlotte Independence are ranked 2 in USL League One, with 60 points from 29 games.
NY Cosmos are ranked 15 in USL League One, with 25 points from 28 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 51 |
| 5 | Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Alta | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | NY Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.