Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 28
Philadelphia UnionvsReal Salt Lake
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Major League Soccer
- Venue
- Talen Energy Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake: match review and analysis
Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake in Major League Soccer on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Philadelphia Union recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 29 and conceding 13. Real Salt Lake recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses, with 10 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Philadelphia Union | Real Salt Lake |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 29 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Philadelphia Union: (3.21 weighted goals scored + 1.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Real Salt Lake: (0.87 weighted goals scored + 1.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Philadelphia Union recent form
2.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| San DiegoMajor League Soccer | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| CF MontrealMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| AustinMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| New York City FCMajor League Soccer | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Santos LagunaLeagues Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Philadelphia Union’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Salt Lake recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| New York City FCMajor League Soccer | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LeonLeagues Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC DallasMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Real Salt Lake’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Major League Soccer — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Real Salt Lake are ranked 11 in Western Conference, with 32 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 29 | 31 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 65 | -33 | 21 |
Philadelphia Union are ranked 6 in Eastern Conference, with 39 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 21 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City FC | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 33 |
| 11 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 24 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.