Segunda División · Regular Season - 26
Monagas IIvsAtletico Avila FC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Monagas II vs Atletico Avila FC: match review and analysis
Monagas II vs Atletico Avila FC in Segunda División on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Monagas II recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 14. Atletico Avila FC recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 3 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Monagas II | Atletico Avila FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 3 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Monagas II: (1.87 weighted goals scored + 1.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Atletico Avila FC: (0.26 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Monagas II recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BolívarSegunda División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Mineros de GuyanaSegunda División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo de Puerto La CruzSegunda División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Aragua FCSegunda División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Petare FCSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atletico Avila FCSegunda División | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| BolívarSegunda División | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Mineros de GuyanaSegunda División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo de Puerto La CruzSegunda División | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Aragua FCSegunda División | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Monagas II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Atletico Avila FC recent form
0.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petare FCCopa Venezuela | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Dinamo de Puerto La CruzSegunda División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Aragua FCSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Petare FCSegunda División | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Mineros de GuyanaSegunda División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BolívarSegunda División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Monagas IISegunda División | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Petare FCCopa Venezuela | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dinamo de Puerto La CruzSegunda División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Aragua FCSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Atletico Avila FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Lara | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 63 |
| 2 | Fundación Lara Deportiva | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 52 | 32 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Yaracuyanos FC | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Urena SC | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 46 |
| 5 | Zamora FC B | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 40 |
| 6 | Atletico el Vigia FC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 40 |
| 7 | Puerto Cabello II | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 34 |
| 8 | Club Atletico Barinas | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 32 |
| 9 | Real Frontera | 29 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 12 |
Monagas II are ranked 1 in Segunda División, with 39 points from 22 games.
Atletico Avila FC are ranked 8 in Segunda División, with 13 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas II | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 39 |
| 2 | Petare FC | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | Bolívar | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | Aragua FC | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
| 6 | Mineros de Guyana | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 21 |
| 7 | Marítimo | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Atletico Avila FC | 23 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 13 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.