Liga Premier Serie A · Apertura - 7
Vaqueros ReynosavsAtlético Saltillo
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 6 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Premier Serie A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Vaqueros Reynosa vs Atlético Saltillo: match review and analysis
Vaqueros Reynosa vs Atlético Saltillo in Liga Premier Serie A on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Vaqueros Reynosa recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the 6 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Atlético Saltillo recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 12 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Vaqueros Reynosa | Atlético Saltillo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Vaqueros Reynosa: (1.75 weighted goals scored + 2.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Atlético Saltillo: (1.20 weighted goals scored + 1.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 6 GAMES
Vaqueros Reynosa recent form
1.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. 5 of 6 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real ApodacaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Mineros de FresnilloLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| La Tribu de Cd. JuarezLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Héroes de ZaciLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GuerrerosLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| FC SantiagoLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Vaqueros Reynosa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 6 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Atlético Saltillo recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineros de FresnilloLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Héroes de ZaciLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC SantiagoLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Correcaminos UAT IILiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Real ApodacaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| La Tribu de Cd. JuarezLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Leones NegrosLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Tritons VallartaLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ColimaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| TecosLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Atlético Saltillo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Premier Serie A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Vaqueros Reynosa are ranked 3 in Liga Premier Serie A, with 13 points from 6 games.
Atlético Saltillo are ranked 7 in Liga Premier Serie A, with 8 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 1 | Artesanos Metepec | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Acatlan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Vaqueros Reynosa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Halcones Negros | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 11 |
| 4 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Acambaro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Correcaminos UAT II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Guerreros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 6 | Guerreros del Pacifico | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | Atlético Saltillo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 7 | Calor de San Pedro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 8 | FC Santiago | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 2 |
| 10 | Héroes de Zaci | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 2 |
| 10 | Cañoneros Marina | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 19 | -18 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.