USL Championship · Group Stage
Sacramento RepublicvsColorado Springs
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- USL Championship
- Venue
- Heart Health Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs: match review and analysis
Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs in USL Championship on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Sacramento Republic recorded 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 9. Colorado Springs recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sacramento Republic | Colorado Springs |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sacramento Republic: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 1.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Colorado Springs: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 0.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sacramento Republic recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC TulsaUSL Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Las Vegas LightsUSL Championship | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| New Mexico UnitedUSL Championship | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| San AntonioUSL Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Detroit CityUSL Championship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Orange County SCUSL Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Monterey BayUSL Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Phoenix RisingUSL Championship | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LexingtonUSL Championship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Pittsburgh RiverhoundsUSL Championship | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Sacramento Republic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Colorado Springs recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland RootsUSL Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Detroit CityUSL Championship | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| New Mexico UnitedUSL Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| San AntonioUSL Championship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hartford AthleticUSL League One Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Loudoun UnitedUSL Championship | Away | 5–4 | Won | |
| LexingtonUSL Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| El Paso LocomotiveUSL Championship | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Phoenix RisingUSL Championship | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Birmingham LegionUSL Championship | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Colorado Springs’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
USL Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston Battery | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 73 | -41 | 14 |
Sacramento Republic are ranked 3 in USL Championship, with 44 points from 27 games.
Colorado Springs are ranked 6 in USL Championship, with 40 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 21 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.