USL League One · Group Stage
AltavsGreenville Triumph
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- USL League One
- Venue
- Lancaster Municipal Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Alta vs Greenville Triumph: match review and analysis
Alta vs Greenville Triumph in USL League One on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Alta recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 21. Greenville Triumph recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 10 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Alta | Greenville Triumph |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 21 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Alta: (0.85 weighted goals scored + 2.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.61 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Greenville Triumph: (0.77 weighted goals scored + 2.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Alta recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westchester SCUSL League One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Forward MadisonUSL League One | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Portland Hearts of PineUSL League One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| One KnoxvilleUSL League One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Charlotte IndependenceUSL League One | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| NaplesUSL League One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NY CosmosUSL League One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Fort WayneUSL League One | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| NaplesUSL League One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Richmond KickersUSL League One | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Alta’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Greenville Triumph recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoiseUSL League One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Union OmahaUSL League One | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Sarasota ParadiseUSL League One | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Corpus ChristiUSL League One | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Fort WayneUSL League One | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| NaplesUSL League One | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Spokane VelocityUSL League One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| One KnoxvilleUSL League One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Forward MadisonUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Greenville Triumph’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
USL League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Alta are ranked 13 in USL League One, with 32 points from 29 games.
Greenville Triumph are ranked 16 in USL League One, with 23 points from 28 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 51 |
| 5 | Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Alta | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | NY Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.