K3 League · Regular Season - 24
Gyeongju HNPvsMokpo City
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- K3 League
- Venue
- Gyeongju Civic Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Gyeongju HNP vs Mokpo City: match review and analysis
Gyeongju HNP vs Mokpo City in K3 League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Gyeongju HNP recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 14. Mokpo City recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 14 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Gyeongju HNP | Mokpo City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Gyeongju HNP: (1.80 weighted goals scored + 1.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mokpo City: (1.47 weighted goals scored + 1.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Gyeongju HNP recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dangjin CitizenK3 League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Changwon CityK3 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Gangneung CityK3 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ulsan CitizenK3 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| YangpyeongK3 League | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Siheung CitizenK3 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| CheongjuFA Cup | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Daejeon KorailK3 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Seosan PioneerFA Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| PocheonK3 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Gyeongju HNP’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mokpo City recent form
1.40 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busan TransportationK3 League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Jeonbuk Motors IIK3 League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| ChuncheonK3 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Yeoju SejongK3 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| PocheonK3 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Dangjin CitizenK3 League | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Cheonan CityFA Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Gangneung CityK3 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AnseongFA Cup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Ulsan CitizenK3 League | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mokpo City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
K3 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Gyeongju HNP are ranked 5 in K3 League, with 35 points from 23 games.
Mokpo City are ranked 12 in K3 League, with 24 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 55 |
| 2 | Pocheon | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 46 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Busan Transportation | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 37 |
| 5 | Gyeongju HNP | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 35 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 31 |
| 7 | Chuncheon | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 30 |
| 8 | Changwon City | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 29 |
| 9 | Yeoju Sejong | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Ulsan Citizen | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Gangneung City | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Mokpo City | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 24 |
| 13 | Yangpyeong | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk Motors II | 23 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.