League One · Regular Season - 26
Yanbian LongdingvsNantong Zhiyun
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League One
- Venue
- Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun: match review and analysis
Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun in League One on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Yanbian Longding recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Nantong Zhiyun recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 19 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Yanbian Longding | Nantong Zhiyun |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Yanbian Longding: (1.24 weighted goals scored + 0.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nantong Zhiyun: (1.73 weighted goals scored + 1.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Yanbian Longding recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changchun YataiLeague One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Guangzhou E-PowerLeague One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Guangxi HengchenLeague One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Wuxi WugouLeague One | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Shaanxi UnionLeague One | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Ningbo ProfessionalLeague One | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Dalian HuayiLeague One | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Shenzhen JuniorsLeague One | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nanjing CityLeague One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Meizhou KejiaLeague One | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Yanbian Longding’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Nantong Zhiyun recent form
1.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ningbo ProfessionalLeague One | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Changchun YataiLeague One | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Guangxi HengchenLeague One | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Wuxi WugouLeague One | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Guangzhou E-PowerLeague One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dalian HuayiLeague One | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Shaanxi UnionLeague One | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Suzhou DongwuLeague One | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Nanjing CityLeague One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Heilongjiang Lava SpringLeague One | Home | 5–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Nantong Zhiyun’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Nantong Zhiyun are ranked 3 in League One, with 45 points from 25 games.
Yanbian Longding are ranked 6 in League One, with 36 points from 25 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangzhou E-Power | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 52 | 21 | 31 | 57 |
| 2 | Guangxi Hengchen | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 45 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Juniors | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 44 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 39 |
| 6 | Yanbian Longding | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Hebei Kungfu | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugou | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Ningbo Professional | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Dalian Huayi | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 27 |
| 13 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 24 |
| 14 | Nanjing City | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
| 15 | Meizhou Kejia | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 16 |
| 16 | Dongguan United | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 16 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.